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Coal’s share in India’s power mix to decline to half by 2030, renewables to meet new demand: CEA

18 May 2023

 

The power sector contributes about 40 per cent of India’s total greenhouse gas emissions

The Report on Optimal Generation Mix 2030 Version 2.0 by the Union Ministry of Power’s Central Electricity Authority (CEA) offers updated projections on what India’s energy mix for the power sector could look like in 2030.

Last year, 73 per cent of India’s power came from coal which is expected to go down to 55 per cent by 2030. Renewable sources (such as small hydro, pumped hydro, solar, wind and biomass) will rise to 31 per cent in 2030 from 12 per cent right now.

Power capacity differs from generation. Capacity is the maximum power a plant can produce and is expressed in watts (or gigawatts or megawatts). Generation is the actual amount of power produced in one hour, expressed in watt-hours [or billion units (BU)].

Focusing on solar and wind energy alone, India’s capacity and generation are expected to quadruple. (From 109 GW to 392 GW and from 173 BU to 761 BU respectively in 2030.)

CEA estimates that for coal plants, “2,121.5 MW is considered for likely retirement” by 2030, of which 304 MW will be retired during 2022-23. But with rising power demand, while the share of coal will reduce in the energy mix, coal power will rise by 19 pr cent in terms of capacity and by 13 per cent in terms of generation (between 2023-2030)”.

The 2023 CEA report projections differ from the 2020 report marginally. The differences are as follows: